Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package

13 possible items

All 13 items in the Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package, with live prices across every CS2 marketplace and official drop odds below. Contents range from $1.27 to $24.76.

Is it worth opening?

Expected value / open

$11.30

Cost to open

$2.50

Average return

452%

Average value of one open vs. the case + $2.50 key cost, from live skin prices and Valve's drop odds.

Compare all cases by expected value →

Opening odds

Restricted · 2 skins 15.98% (7.990% each)

Mil-Spec Grade · 5 skins 79.92% (15.984% each)

★ Rare Special (Knife / Gloves) 0.26%

Official per-grade odds, split evenly across the skins of each grade. Each skin can then roll any of its wear conditions.

Case opening simulator

Galil AR | Cerberus

Glock-18 | Reactor

FAMAS | Styx

Tec-9 | Toxic

MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden

MP9 | Setting Sun

XM1014 | Bone Machine

Five-SeveN | Hot Shot

AUG | Radiation Hazard

Negev | Nuclear Waste

SG 553 | Fallout Warning

PP-Bizon | Chemical Green

Simulation only, using Valve's real per-grade odds + live skin prices. No real items, keys, or money are involved, and stats are saved only in your browser. Over many opens you'll see why the expected value is below the case + key cost.

Restricted(2)

Mil-Spec Grade(5)

Industrial Grade(6)

Related guides

CS2 Cases & Drop Odds Explained

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CS2 Skin Rarity Tiers Explained

Every Counter-Strike 2 rarity tier from Consumer Grade to Covert and Contraband, knife/glove rarity, StatTrak and Souvenir variants, and whether rarity equals price.

How to Buy CS2 Skins Safely

A complete guide to buying CS2 skins safely - where to buy, Steam vs third-party marketplaces, fees, trade locks and holds, account security, and how to avoid every common scam.

Frequently asked questions

How many skins are in Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package?

Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package contains 13 items across 2 rarity tiers (Restricted, Mil-Spec Grade).

Is Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package worth opening?

On average one open returns about $11.30 - roughly 452% of the $2.50 case + key cost. Like virtually every case, it's −EV, so you lose money over many opens.

What is the most valuable skin in Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package?

Galil AR | Cerberus is the most valuable item in Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package at $24.76.