Shanghai 2024 Dust II Souvenir Package

$3.25 best on lis-skins

272 sold in 30d on Steam 19 possible items

All 19 items in the Shanghai 2024 Dust II Souvenir Package, with live prices across every CS2 marketplace and official drop odds below. Contents range from $0.05 to $1,034.30.

Buy on LIS-SKINS - $3.25 →

Is it worth opening?

Expected value / open

$10.74

Cost to open

$5.75

Average return

187%

Average value of one open vs. the case + $2.50 key cost, from live skin prices and Valve's drop odds.

Compare all cases by expected value →

Opening odds

Covert · 1 skin 0.64% (0.640% each)

Classified · 2 skins 3.20% (1.600% each)

Restricted · 3 skins 15.98% (5.327% each)

Mil-Spec Grade · 4 skins 79.92% (19.980% each)

★ Rare Special (Knife / Gloves) 0.26%

Official per-grade odds, split evenly across the skins of each grade. Each skin can then roll any of its wear conditions.

Case opening simulator

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque

SSG 08 | Death Strike

UMP-45 | Fade

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

USP-S | Orange Anolis

M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Galil AR | Amber Fade

P250 | Black & Tan

G3SG1 | New Roots

Nova | Quick Sand

R8 Revolver | Desert Brush

M249 | Midnight Palm

Simulation only, using Valve's real per-grade odds + live skin prices. No real items, keys, or money are involved, and stats are saved only in your browser. Over many opens you'll see why the expected value is below the case + key cost.

Covert(1)

Classified(2)

Restricted(3)

Mil-Spec Grade(4)

Industrial Grade(4)

Consumer Grade(5)

Price history

Related guides

CS2 Cases & Drop Odds Explained

What's inside CS2 weapon cases, the official per-grade drop odds, key cost, the rare-special knife/glove chance, and whether opening cases is worth it.

CS2 Skin Rarity Tiers Explained

Every Counter-Strike 2 rarity tier from Consumer Grade to Covert and Contraband, knife/glove rarity, StatTrak and Souvenir variants, and whether rarity equals price.

How to Buy CS2 Skins Safely

A complete guide to buying CS2 skins safely - where to buy, Steam vs third-party marketplaces, fees, trade locks and holds, account security, and how to avoid every common scam.

Frequently asked questions

How many skins are in Shanghai 2024 Dust II Souvenir Package?

Shanghai 2024 Dust II Souvenir Package contains 19 items across 4 rarity tiers (Covert, Classified, Restricted, Mil-Spec Grade).

Is Shanghai 2024 Dust II Souvenir Package worth opening?

On average one open returns about $10.74 - roughly 187% of the $5.75 case + key cost. Like virtually every case, it's −EV, so you lose money over many opens.

What is the most valuable skin in Shanghai 2024 Dust II Souvenir Package?

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque is the most valuable item in Shanghai 2024 Dust II Souvenir Package at $1,034.30.