Shadow Case

$1.64 best on skinport

Released Sep 14, 2015 1,878 sold in 30d on Steam 28 possible items

All 28 items in the Shadow Case, with live prices across every CS2 marketplace and official drop odds below. Contents range from $0.19 to $134.36.

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Is it worth opening?

Expected value / open

$1.23

Cost to open

$4.14

Average return

30%

Average value of one open vs. the case + $2.50 key cost, from live skin prices and Valve's drop odds. Like virtually every case, it's −EV - you lose money on average over many opens.

Compare all cases by expected value →

Opening odds

Covert · 2 skins 0.64% (0.320% each)

Classified · 3 skins 3.20% (1.067% each)

Restricted · 4 skins 15.98% (3.995% each)

Mil-Spec Grade · 7 skins 79.92% (11.417% each)

★ Rare Special (Knife / Gloves)· 12 0.26% (0.0217% each)

Official per-grade odds, split evenly across the skins of each grade. Each skin can then roll any of its wear conditions.

Case opening simulator

Shadow Daggers | Fade

Shadow Daggers | Slaughter

Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened

Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web

Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Shadow Daggers | Stained

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Shadow Daggers | Night

Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked

Shadow Daggers | Scorched

Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest

Simulation only, using Valve's real per-grade odds + live skin prices. No real items, keys, or money are involved, and stats are saved only in your browser. Over many opens you'll see why the expected value is below the case + key cost.

Covert(14)

Classified(3)

Restricted(4)

Mil-Spec Grade(7)

Price history

Related guides

CS2 Cases & Drop Odds Explained

What's inside CS2 weapon cases, the official per-grade drop odds, key cost, the rare-special knife/glove chance, and whether opening cases is worth it.

CS2 Skin Rarity Tiers Explained

Every Counter-Strike 2 rarity tier from Consumer Grade to Covert and Contraband, knife/glove rarity, StatTrak and Souvenir variants, and whether rarity equals price.

How to Buy CS2 Skins Safely

A complete guide to buying CS2 skins safely - where to buy, Steam vs third-party marketplaces, fees, trade locks and holds, account security, and how to avoid every common scam.

Frequently asked questions

How many skins are in Shadow Case?

Shadow Case contains 28 items across 4 rarity tiers (Covert, Classified, Restricted, Mil-Spec Grade), plus a rare special knife/glove pool.

Is Shadow Case worth opening?

On average one open returns about $1.23 - roughly 30% of the $4.14 case + key cost. Like virtually every case, it's −EV, so you lose money over many opens.

What is the most valuable skin in Shadow Case?

Shadow Daggers | Fade is the most valuable item in Shadow Case at $134.36.

What are the odds of a knife or gloves from Shadow Case?

The rare special (knife/glove) drop chance is about 0.26% per open - roughly 1 in 385.